September 15, 2008

Nothing is fucked, dude.

Since I'm a huge nerd, I looked through our team history at pro football reference. How do we fare after 0-2 starts? Here's what I found:

-Seattle has started 0-2 fourteen times, and has never made the playoffs after an 0-2 start.

-Seattle's winning percentage in these seasons is .417, working out to about 7-9 over a theoretical full season.

-The Hawks recovered to finish 9-7 three times (1978, 1979, 1990), and 8-8 twice (95 & 97). They cratered into a 2-win campaign in 1976 and 1992.

If you look at the schedule, nine wins is about the best we can reasonably expect this year. Yes, it totally sucks that 12-4 is HIGHLY unlikely, but I firmly believe this will be a much more dangerous team in December/January than it is now.

Despite losing to them yesterday, I can't take SF seriously as a contender, and the Rams are laughably awful too... So it's us v. AZ.

You'll hear a lot about how we are finally going to collapse and cede the west to the Cardinals... They are going to be wrong again. They've got back-to-back east coast trips coming up against the Skins and Jets. They COULD win these games, but I'll believe it when it happens. Then they get Buffalo and Dallas at home, and I could easily see them falling to 3-3 after 6 games. They also have to travel to Carolina, Philly and New England, so it's completely plausible that they will be 9-6 going into that final showdown with us in Glendale.

Then we win, sneaking in the playoffs at 9-7. Then we win a Wild Card game at home, and hope that in Holmgren's last ride we can finally win our first road playoff games since 1983.

It starts with a win next Sunday. I'll be there.

Meaningless stat: The Hawks are 10-0 at Qwest with me in attendance.


Peter said...

You must not believe in the curse. My brother would absolutely flip if he saw you mentioning a stat like that.

Granted, it's St. Louis, arguably the worst team in the league. And we're at home. But still. Bringing up a statistic like that is just begging for trouble.

For those of you unfamiliar with the curse, it was clearly evidenced this last Sunday by Kenny Albert who repeatedly mentioned Joe Nedney's streak of consecutive field goals shorter than 50 yards right before he missed the go ahead 41 yarder.

Micah said...

You're acting very un-dude.

Actually, you are acting quite dude. I like the optimism. I totally agree with you. It is all about looking at the Cards schedule and then seeing what we can do. Their schedule looks tough. We just need to beat the Rams, get a bit healthy after the bye.